Friday, December 25, 2009

What is an agnostic?

by Bertnard Russell

What is an agnostic?



An agnostic thinks it impossible to know the truth in matters such as God and the future life with which Christianity and other religions are concerned. Or, if not impossible, at least impossible at the present time.

Are agnostics atheists?



No. An atheist, like a Christian, holds that we can know whether or not there is a God. The Christian holds that we can know there is a God; the atheist, that we can know there is not. The Agnostic suspends judgment, saying that there are not sufficient grounds either for affirmation or for denial. At the same time, an Agnostic may hold that the existence of God, though not impossible, is very improbable; he may even hold it so improbable that it is not worth considering in practice. In that case, he is not far removed from atheism. His attitude may be that which a careful philosopher would have towards the gods of ancient Greece. If I were asked to prove that Zeus and Poseidon and Hera and
the rest of the Olympians do not exist, I should be at a loss to find conclusive arguments. An Agnostic may think the Christian God as improbable as the Olympians; in that case, he is, for practical purposes, at one with the atheists.

Since you deny `God's Law', what authority do you accept as a guide to conduct?



An Agnostic does not accept any `authority' in the sense in which religious people do. He holds that a man should think out questions of conduct for himself. Of course, he will seek to profit by the wisdom of others, but he will have to select for himself the people he is to consider wise, and he will not regard even what they say as unquestionable. He will observe that what passes as `God's law' varies from time to time. The Bible says both that a woman must not marry her deceased husband's brother, and that, in certain circumstances, she must do so. If you have the misfortune to be a childless widow with an unmarried brother- in- law, it is logically impossible for you to avoid disobeying `God's law'.

How do you know what is good and what is evil? What does an agnostic consider a sin?



The Agnostic is not quite so certain as some Christians are as to what is good and what is evil. He does not hold, as most Christians in the past held, that people who disagree with the government on abstruse points of theology ought to suffer a painful death. He is against persecution, and rather chary of moral condemnation. As for `sin', he thinks it not a useful notion. He admits, of course, that some kinds of
conduct are desirable and some undesirable, but he holds that the punishment of undesirable kinds is only to be commended when it is deterrent or reformatory, not when it is inflicted because it is thought a good thing on its own account that the wicked should suffer. It was this belief in vindictive punishment that made men accept Hell. This is part of the harm done by the notion of `sin'.

Does an agnostic do whatever he pleases?



In one sense, no; in another sense, everyone does whatever he pleases. Suppose, for example, you hate someone so much that you would like to murder him. Why do you not do so? You may reply: "Because religion tells me that murder is a sin." But as a statistical fact, agnostics are not more prone to murder than other people, in fact, rather less so. They have the same motives for abstaining from murder as other people have. Far and away the most powerful of these motives is the fear of punishment. In lawless conditions, such as a gold rush, all sorts of people will commit crimes, although in ordinary circumstances they would have been law-abiding. There is not only actual legal punishment; there is the discomfort of dreading discovery, and the loneliness of knowing that, to avoid being hated, you must wear a mask with even your closest intimates. And there is also what may be called "conscience": If you ever contemplated a murder, you would dread the horrible memory of your victim's last moments or lifeless corpse. All this, it is true, depends upon your living in a law-abiding community, but there are abundant secular reasons for creating and preserving such a community. I said that there is another sense in which every man does as he pleases. No one but a fool indulges every impulse, but what holds a desire in check is always some other desire. A man's anti-social wishes may be restrained by a wish to please God, but they may also be restrained by a wish to please his friends, or to win the respect of his community, or to be able to contemplate himself without disgust. But if he has no such wishes, the mere abstract concepts of morality will not keep him straight.

How does an agnostic regard the Bible?



An agnostic regards the Bible exactly as enlightened clerics regard it. He does not think that it is divinely inspired; he thinks its early history legendary, and no more exactly true than that in Ho mer; he thinks its moral teaching sometimes good, but sometimes very bad. For example: Samuel ordered Saul, in a war, to kill not only every man, woman, and child of the enemy, but also all the sheep and cattle. Saul, however, let the sheep and the cattle live, and for this we are told to condemn him. I have never been able to admire Elisha for cursing the children who laughed at him, or to believe (what the Bible asserts)
that a benevolent Deity would send two she-bears to kill the children.

How does an agnostic regard Jesus, the Virgin Birth, and the Holy Trinity?



Since an agnostic does not believe in God, he cannot think that Jesus was God. Most agnostics admire the life and moral teachings of Jesus as told in the Gospels, but not necessarily more than those of certain other men. Some would place him on a level with Buddha, some with Socrates and some with Abraham Lincoln. Nor do they think that what He said is not open to question, since they do not accept any authority as absolute. They regard the Virgin Birth as a doctrine taken over from pagan mythology, where such births were not uncommon. (Zoroaster was said to have been born of a virgin; Ishtar, the
Babylonian goddess, is called the Holy Virgin.) They cannot give credence to it, or to the doctrine of the Trinity, since neither is possible without belief in God.

Can an agnostic be a Christian?



The word "Christian" has had various different meanings at different times. Throughout most of the centuries since the time of Christ, it has meant a person who believed God and immortality and held that Christ was God. But Unitarians call themselves Christians, although they do not believe in the divinity of Christ, and many people nowadays use the word "God" in a much less precise sense than that which it used to bear. Many people who say they believe in God no longer mean a person, or a trinity of persons, but only a vague tendency or power or purpose immanent in evolution. Others, going still further,
mean by "Christianity" merely a system of ethics which, since they are ignorant of history, they imagine to be characteristic of Christians only.When, in a recent book, I said that what the world needs is "love, Christian love, or compassion," many people thought this showed some changes in my views, although in fact, I might have said the same thing at any time. If you mean by a "Christian" a man who loves his neighbour, who has wide sympathy with suffering, and who ardently desires a world freed from the cruelties and abominations which at present disfigure it, then, certainly, you will be justified in calling me a Christian. And, in this sense, I think you will find more "Christians" among agnostics than among the orthodox. But, for my part, I cannot accept such a definition. Apart from other objections to it, it seems rude to Jews, Buddhists, Mohammedans, and other non-Christians, who, so far as history shows, have
been at least as apt as Christians to practice the virtues which some modern Christians arrogantly claim as distinctive of their own religion.

I think also that all who called themselves Christians in an earlier time, and a great majority of those who do so at the present day, would consider that belief in God and immortality is essential to a Christian. On these grounds, I should not call myself a Christian, and I should say that an agnostic cannot be a Christian. But, if the word "Christianity" comes to be generally used to mean merely a kind of morality, then it will certainly be possible for an agnostic to be a Christian.

Does an agnostic deny that man has a soul?



This question has no precise meaning unless we are given a definition of the word "soul." I suppose what is meant is, roughly, something nonmaterial which persists throughout a person's life and even, for those who believe in immortality, throughout all future time. If this is what is meant, an agnostic is not likely to believe that man has a soul. But I must hasten to add that this does not mean that an agnostic must be a materialist. Many agnostics (including myself) are quite as doubtful of the body as they are of the soul, but this is a long story taking one into difficult metaphysics. Mind and matter alike, I should say, are only convenient symbols in discourse, not actually existing things.

Does an agnostic believe in a hereafter, in Heaven or Hell?



The question whether people survive death is one as to which evidence is possible. Psychical research and spiritualism are thought by many to supply such evidence. An agnostic, as such, does not take a view about survival unless he thinks that there is evidence one way or the other. For my part, I do not think there is any good reason to believe that we survive death, but I am open to conviction if adequate evidence should appear.

Heaven and hell are a different matter. Belief in hell is bound up with the belief that the vindictive punishment of sin is a good thing, quite independently of any reformative or deterrent effect that it may have. Hardly an agnostic believes this. As for heaven, there might conceivably someday be evidence of its existence through spiritualism, but most agnostics do not think that there is such evidence, and therefore do not believe in heaven.

Are you never afraid of God's judgment in denying Him?



Most certainly not. I also deny Zeus and Jupiter and Odin and Brahma, but this causes me no qualms. I observe that a very large portion of the human race does not believe in God and suffers no visible punishment in consequence. And if there were a God, I think it very unlikely that He would have such an uneasy vanity as to be offended by those who doubt His existence.

How do agnostics explain the beauty and harmony of nature?



I do not understand where this "beauty" and "harmony" are supposed to be found. Throughout the animal kingdom, animals ruthlessly prey upon each other. Most of them are either cruelly killed by other animals or slowly die of hunger. For my part, I am unable to see any great beauty or harmony in the tapeworm. Let it not be said that this creature is sent as a punishment for our sins, for it is more prevalent among animals than among humans. I suppose the questioner is thinking of such things as the beauty of the starry heavens. But one should remember that stars every now and again explode and
reduce everything in their neighborhood to a vague mist. Beauty, in any case, is subjective and exists only in the eye of the beholder.

How do agnostics explain miracles and other revelations of God's omnipotence?



Agnostics do not think that there is any evidence of "miracles" in the sense of happenings contrary to natural law. We know that faith healing occurs and is in no sense miraculous. At Lourdes, certain diseases can be cured and others cannot. Those that can be cured at Lourdes can probably be cured by any doctor in whom the patient has faith. As for the records of other miracles, such as Joshua commanding the sun to stand still, the agnostic dismisses them as legends and points to the fact that all religions are plentifully supplied with such legends. There is just as much miraculous evidence for the Greek gods in Homer as for the Christian God in the Bible. There have been base and cruel passions, which religion opposes.

If you abandon religious principles, could mankind exist?



The existence of base and cruel passions is undeniable, but I find no evidence in history that religion has opposed these passions. On the contrary, it has sanctified them, and enabled people to indulge them without remorse. Cruel persecutions have been commoner in Christendom than anywhere else. What appears to justify persecution is dogmatic belief. Kindliness and tolerance only prevail in proportion as dogmatic belief decays. In our day, a new dogmatic religion, namely, communism, has arisen. To this, as to other systems of dogma, the agnostic is opposed. The persecuting character of present day communism is exactly like the persecuting character of Christianity in earlier centuries. In so far as Christianity has become less persecuting, this is mainly due to the work of freethinkers who have made dogmatists rather less dogmatic. If they were as dogmatic now as in former times, they would still think it right to burn heretics at the stake. The spirit of tolerance which some modern Christians regard as essentially Christian is, in fact, a product of the temper which allows doubt and is suspicious of
absolute certainties. I think that anybody who surveys past history in an impartial manner will be driven to the conclusion that religion has caused more suffering than it has prevented.

What is the meaning of life to the agnostic?



I feel inclined to answer by another question: What is the meaning of `the meaning of life'? I suppose what is intended is some general purpose. I do not think that life in general has any purpose. It just happened. But individual human beings have purposes, and there is nothing in agnosticism to cause them to abandon these purposes. They cannot, of course, be certain of achieving the results at which they aim; but you would think ill of a soldier who refused to fight unless victory was certain. The person who needs religion to bolster up his own purposes is a timorous person, and I cannot think as well of him as of the man who takes his chances, while admitting that defeat is not impossible.

Does not the denial of religion mean the denial of marriage and chastity?



Here again, one must reply by another question: Does the man who asks this question believe that marriage and chastity contribute to earthly happiness here below, or does he think that, while they cause misery here below, they are to be advocated as means of getting to heaven? The man who takes the latter view will no doubt expect agnosticism to lead to a decay of what he calls virtue, but he will have to admit that what he calls virtue is not what ministers to the happiness of the human race while on earth. If, on the other hand, he takes the former view, namely, that there are terrestrial arguments in favor of marriage and chastity, he must also hold that these arguments are such as should appeal
to the agnostic. Agnostics, as such, have no distinctive views about sexual morality. But most of them would admit that there are valid arguments against the unbridled indulgence of sexual desires. They would derive these arguments, however, from terrestrial sources and not from supposed divine commands.

Is not faith in reason alone a dangerous creed? Is not reason imperfect and inadequate without spiritual and moral law?



No sensible man, however agnostic, has "faith in reason alone." Reason is concerned with matters of fact, some observed, some inferred. The question whether there is a future life and the question whether there is a God concern matters of fact, and the agnostic will hold that they should be investigated in the same way as the question, "Will there be an eclipse of the moon tomorrow?" But matters of fact alone are not sufficient to determine action, since they do not tell us what ends we ought to pursue. In the realm of ends, we need something other than reason. The agnostic will find his ends in his own heart and not in an external command. Let us take an illustration: Suppose you wish to travel by
train from New York to Chicago; you will use reason to discover when the trains run, and a person who though that there was some faculty of insight or intuition enabling him to dispense with the timetable would be thought rather silly. But no timetable will tell him that it is wise, he will have to take account of further matters of fact; but behind all the matters of fact, there will be the ends that he thinks fitting to pursue, and these, for an agnostic as for other men, belong to a realm which is not that of reason, though it should be in no degree contrary to it. The realm I mean is that of emotion and feeling and desire.

Do you regard all religions as forms of superstition or dogma? Which of the existing religions do you most respect, and why?



All the great organized religions that have dominated large populations have involved a greater or less amount of dogma, but "religion" is a word of which the meaning is not very definite. Confucianism, for instance, might be called a religion, although it involves no dogma.
And in some forms of liberal Christianity, the element of dogma is reduced to a minimum. Of the great religions of history, I prefer Buddhism, especially in its earliest forms, because it has had the smallest element of persecution.

Communism like agnosticism opposes religion, are agnostics Communists?



Communism does not oppose religion. It merely opposes the Christian religion, just as Mohammedanism does. Communism, at least in the form advocated by the Soviet Government and the Communist Party, is a new system of dogma of a peculiarly virulent and persecuting sort. Every genuine Agnostic must therefore be opposed to it.

Do agnostics think that science and religion are impossible to reconcile?



The answer turns upon what is meant by `religion'. If it means merely a system of ethics, it can be reconciled with science. If it means a system of dogma, regarded as unquestionably true, it is incompatible with the scientific spirit, which refuses to accept matters of fact without evidence, and also holds that complete certainty is hardly ever impossible.

What kind of evidence could convince you that God exists?



I think that if I heard a voice from the sky predicting all that was going to happen to me during the next twenty- four hours, including events that would have seemed highly improbable, and if all these events then produced to happen, I might perhaps be convinced at least of the existence of some superhuman intelligence. I can imagine other evidence of the same sort which might convince me, but so far as I know, no such evidence exists.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Foreign Direct Investment

Introduction

Foreign direct investment or FDI means when a foreign company invests in a different country other than the host country. In today’s business FDI plays a major role worldwide. It helps in the economic growth of a country’s economy which means creating new jobs, expansion of the existing market. FDI is vital for both developed and developing countries. According to UNCTAD, FDI has become a really international occurrence, no longer the exclusive preserve of OECD countries. FDI has developed in significance in the international economy with FDI stocks now comprising 28 percent of global GDP (UNCTAD, 2008)


Factors affecting FDI

It’s a big decision for companies investing outside their own countries. In recent times FDI is not limited to huge corporations only. Small and medium sized companies are also eager to check the possibilities to invest in a foreign country. For example, a flower company could affiliate themselves with a company in another country where producing flowers are cheaper, while the investor company can help them with the knowledge and the required machinery for effective flower growing, the target company would provide cheaper labor resulting in higher profit. But there are factors on which a company decides if it is safe to invest in that particular geographic location. The Doing Business website by The World Bank measures the scope for businesses all over the world. They have their set criteria on which they rank countries. It’s called “Ease of doing business” rank. Countries ranking top are those where it is very easy to set up new business and at the tail end are those where it is most difficult. The criteria they use for the rankings are: (World Bank, 2008)

Starting a business

Dealing with construction permits

Employing workers

Paying taxes

Registering property

Getting credit

Protecting investors

Enforcing contracts

Trading across borders

The other factors as cited by The Economist journal are FDI protectionism and political. “Appeals to security threats and fears about the consequences of globalization have prompted several governments to review and in some cases tighten their FDI regulations.”
“Some firms may be reluctant to engage in a cross border deal if they feel that opposition from the host government might be an issue”. (The Economist, 2007)


FDI Advantages & Disadvantages

Advantages

a. Flow of money into the economy which encourage economic activity
b. Unemployment reduces. New jobs are created
c. Aggregate demand will also shift outwards as investment is an element of aggregate demand
d. Encourages domestic producers, a spur to become more efficient
e. The government of the country experiencing rising intensity of FDI will have a greater role at international organizations as their country will have more stakeholders in it.

Disadvantages

a. Can cause inflation.
b. If domestic firms are uncompetitive they might get out of the business.
c. If there is an excess FDI into one industry e.g. the garments industry, then a country can become too reliant on it and it may turn into a threat

Case Study: MNC Companies (Toyota)

Multinational automobile companies like Toyota despite having huge profits are opening their new plants in many parts of the world. Their plant in U.S.A shows that FDI is not only for developing nations. It’s also an approach to get hold of new markets. FDI in developed countries such as U.S.A. also provides the investing company with highly efficient labor. Toyota is an example of diversified Multinational Corporation.
Companies like this always try to reduce their cost in this competitive economy. The prospect of a foreign firm setting up business where labor is not expensive is attractive for the host country as well as the host country’s government. Toyota plants in India serve this purpose.


Case Study: FDI in developing nations (China)

It’s amazing to see how China has become a major player in the international business. This country is hovering to become the biggest FDI destination nation in the world. (The Star, 2008). China has become the investor’s paradise for many multinational companies. From computer companies to automobiles, China has it all. Its success lies in government’s ability to attract foreign investment and the productivity of its huge manpower that are efficient yet inexpensive. The great Chinese transformation can be experienced in Shanghai, a modern beautiful city with thousands of year’s history. In a few decades the country experienced major economic boom with the help of FDI. China should be the role model for all the developing countries. More and more multinational companies are becoming interested to invest in other countries. According to the study of The Institute of International Finance, the amount of FDI into emerging markets increased from $119bn in 2006 to an approximate $256bn last year, with an additional increase to $286bn forecasted for 2008. (Financial Times, 2008).


Conclusion

In today’s time FDI is part of the international business. In the global economy, FDI is of major importance. It is important for any business student to know about FDI because, someway, somehow we are all part of this dynamic mechanism. Learning about FDI would give us important insights about many countries’ business infrastructure, as well as social and cultural issues, providing truly global business knowledge.
While doing the research I learned about the magnitude of FDI, how it helped transform under developed countries into more prosperous ones and definitely the business aspect about how it can help maximize profits for companies both large and small. FDI is inextricably linked with the international business of the 21st century.



Reference

Financial Times. (2008). FDI Magazine. Retrieved from FDI :www.fdimagazine.com
The Economist. (2007). World investment prospects to 2011.
The Star. (2008). China poised to be largest recipient of corporate investment.
UNCTAD. (2008). Retrieved from United Nations Conference Trade and Development: www.unctad.org
World Bank. (2008). Retrieved from Doing Business: www.doingbusiness.org
Nickels, W.G., McHugh, J. M., & McHugh, S.M. (2008). Understanding Business. McGraw-Hill
IMF. (n.d). Retrieved from International Monetary Fund: www.imf.org

Domino Theory Analysis

Introduction

It is one of the most interesting foreign policy of the United States of America in the 1960s era. Subject wise it falls under international relations study but this theory has more to it than just plain dull words. The theory was both innovative and dramatic. It would not be surprising if a film-maker decides to make a movie on the imaginative domino theory in South-East Asia. Yes, it’s theatrical and people have wondered, pondered and re-used the term over and over again, even after its actual first use. The term was coined and first proposed by U.S. President Harry S. Truman, but it actually became popular in the 1950s when U.S. President D. Eisenhower related to South-East Asia, indicating North Vietnam’s situation.

Domino Theory

It should be noted that domino theory was used outside of the South-East Asian context as well, mostly during the cold war; it referred to the speculation of states coming under Communism’s influence which would cause similar transformations of its neighbors which was a big concern for United States of America specially because it was the period when the Cold War between U.S.A and U.S.S.R. reached to its zenith. The United States government became increasingly worried when a nationalist communist army led by Viet Minh (English "League for the Independence of Vietnam"), a national liberation movement founded on May 19, 1941, defeated the French troops and formed the communist state of North Vietnam. Both of these post WWII superpowers were competing against each other to become more influential worldwide and this theory gave U.S.A. an agenda which for their national interest have to be prevented.

Interestingly, the domino theory did not work out. But if we think about its validity at the time, it gets quite complex. It was power politics at a soaring level. The situation was definitely apprehensive for United States’ prestige especially after the foundation of Truman Doctrine by U.S. President Harry S. Truman on March 12, 1947 who in a speech to congress declared that United States as “leader of the free world” must support democracy and fight communism globally along with NATO and United Nations.

When U.S. President D. Eisenhower first used the term, perhaps he did not think about the aftermath of this theory. This dramatic theory is essentially took shape out of United States’ significant fear of Communist domination. The post WWII initial developments in South-East Asia made domino theory strong, but subsequent developments dismissed it completely. Domino theory generalized all the south-east Asian countries without much rationale and that is why it failed.

The Growth of Communism in South-East Asia

Communism was spreading in South-East Asia. North Vietnam already had a communist government supported by Viet Minh as well as the other communist parties of the neighboring countries such as Khmer Viet Minh and Khmer Rouge from Cambodia, Pathet Lao from Laos and The Vietcong or National Liberation Front, from South Vietnam. This is the set-up which convinced the U.S. lawmakers that the domino theory is valid and the situation might worsen if the neighboring countries also get the communism fever.

Vietnam War

The Vietnam War is also called the Second Indochina War was basically domino theory in action. In 1959 the Second Indochina War commenced between North and South Vietnam. North Vietnam was backed by all the communist regimes and actors: Viet Cong, Khmer Rouge, Pathet Lao, People’s Republic of China, Soviet Union and North Korea while South Vietnam was backed by the U.S. led anti-communist allies, mainly South Korea, Australia, Philippines, New Zealand, Khmer Republic, Thailand, Kingdom of Laos, Republic of China (Taiwan). Vietnam was divided into two parts after the first Indochina War (against France) which ended in 1954. The domino theory was comprehensively used to justify the war with North Vietnam by the Kennedy and Johnson administrations. In the beginning, it was only Viet Cong guerillas fighting against the South Vietnamese army along with the U.S. forces. North Vietnamese army joined afterwards. At the climax of the war, there were more than 500,000 U.S. soldiers in Vietnam.

In 1960, when John F. Kennedy took charge of the white house he vowed in his inaugural address "pay any price, bear any burden, meet any hardship, support any friend, oppose any foe, in order to assure the survival and success of liberty.” Kennedy sticks to the foreign policy laid by former presidents Eisenhower and Truman. In 1961, Cold War crisis, Kennedy assumed that anymore failure of the United States would hurt its reputation badly in front of its allies; hence he was determined to win the war in Vietnam. He disputed that South Vietnam’s fall would mean a huge threat to the non-communist world. If South Vietnam loses to communism, neighboring countries of Laos, Cambodia, Philippines, Malaysia, and far-off countries of Australia and New Zealand would fall too.

When the war was close to the end, the whole conflict of Vietnam from an outsider’s perspective was a joke. United States of America, the most richest and powerful country was fighting with a far-off small state far-off from it just based on speculative theory for 15 years without any positive result. Not to mention the war expenses and the sheer number of casualties.

South Vietnam’s President Ngo Dinh Dieminstituted a policy of relocating the rural population of South Vietnam to isolate the Communists. This action led to a resentment among the locals, while Diem’s persecution of local Buddhist sects facilitated protests. When Buddhist monks resorted to dramatic self-immolation in front of news cameras, Kennedy instructed Ambassador Henry Cabot Lodge to organise a military coup. On Nov. 1, 1963, Diem was overthrown and murdered. South Vietnam then underwent a succession of coups d’état that undermined all pretense that the United States was defending democracy.

Washington encouraged its SEATO allies to contribute troops. Australia, New Zealand, the Republic of Korea, Thailand, and the Philippines all agreed to send troops. Major allies, however, notably NATO nations, Canada and the United Kingdom, declined Washington's troop requests

The Soviet Union reacted to American escalation by trying to reconvene the Geneva Conference and bring pressure to bear on the United States to submit to the peaceful reunification of Vietnam. China bluntly refused to encourage a negotiated settlement and insisted that the U.S.S.R. help North Vietnam by pressuring the United States elsewhere. The Soviets, in turn, resented Peking’s assertion of leadership in the Communist world and had no desire to provoke new crises with Washington. The North Vietnamese were caught in the middle; Ho’s ties were to Moscow, but geography obliged him to favour Peking. Hence North Vietnam joined in boycotting the March 1965 Communist conference in Moscow. The Soviets, however, dared not ignore the Vietnam War lest they confirm Chinese accusations of Soviet “revisionism.”

Many in the U.S. had come to oppose the war on moral and practical grounds, and Pres. Lyndon B. Johnson decided to shift to a policy of “de-escalation.” Peace talks were begun in Paris. Between 1969 and 1973 U.S. troops were withdrawn from Vietnam, but the war was expanded to Cambodia and Laos in 1970. Peace talks, which had reached a stalemate in 1971, started again in 1973, producing a cease-fire agreement. Fighting continued, and there were numerous truce violationsOn 15 January 1973, Nixon announced the suspension of offensive action against North Vietnam. The Paris Peace Accords on "Ending the War and Restoring Peace in Vietnam" were signed on 27 January 1973, officially ending direct U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War. A cease-fire was declared across North and South Vietnam. U.S. POWs were released. . In 1975 the North Vietnamese launched a full-scale invasion of the south. The south surrendered later that year, and in 1976 the country was reunited as the Socialist Republic of Vietnam.

Aftermath

The loss of human capital was highest in the Vietnam War since WWII. The number of civilians killed in the conflict is around 2 million and around 1.1 million soldiers and guerilla fighters. According to the United States estimate the number of South Vietnamese soldiers dying in the war was amid 200,000 to 250,000. The Vietnam Veteran Memorial was dedicated to the memory of the 57,939 lost souls of the U.S. soldiers. Later, the number was updated to 58,200. Among the names inscribed there were Canadians, and soldiers from other countries who fought for the U.S. led allies in South Vietnam. South Korea, a major U.S. ally lost 4000 soldiers, while Australia lost around 500.

Cold War perspective

In July 1945, the Potsdam Conference was held after the Allie’s victory over the Axis in Berlin. The Allies in the post-World War II were ready for the daunting experience of balance of powers among the new leading nations over ideological differences. The conference was attended by the British premier Winston Churchill, Clement Attlee, United States President Harry S. Truman and the Soviet leader Stalin.

Initially, Washington D.C. did not change their view about Moscow. On the basis of Potsdam agreements, The Truman administration was willing to get along with their counterparts. According to Potsdam agreements, its major objective was to unite Germany and administer it as a single economic body, and hence Soviet cooperation was required, but Stalin did not let go off East Germany and closed the borders. This was the seed of the Cold War which in following years turned soar. The Vietnam War is an example of the conflict of ideologies, democracy against communism.

Conclusion

During Eisenhower’s regime the theory was placed more strongly than anyone else perhaps because he used to give speech without any prepared note. The theory was seldom put strongly in proper documentation by the American think tanks. When Kennedy was asked about his state on the theory before his death in 1963 in a television interview, he responded by saying, “I believe it. I believe it. When the scale of war escalated with huge number of American soldier casualties, the belief in domino theory gradually got lessened because of the tremendous war costs and casualties.

On the whole, domino theory was the political weapon United States wanted to use to fight communism, with South Vietnam as its combatant. Domino theory supporters inflated the strength of anti-communist nationalism in South Vietnam, which was an effort to justify United States involvement. It wasn’t a valid theory. This theory generalizes most facts to show it is vulnerable communism. Its ambition of becoming the only superpower has led itself to a fad. And from a humanitarian point of view we may ask the question, if United State’s foreign policies are worth being entertained. Conflicts which follow to war, causes unspeakable suffering and devastation for all the parties involved in it. The world in this new millennium needs leaders who would work for integrated advancement of all the societies rather than destroy each other.


Bibliography

http://www.h-net.org/~hst306/documents/domino.html

http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/COLDdomino.htm

http://www.u-s-history.com/pages/h1965.html

http://www.u-s-history.com/

http://educationforum.ipbhost.com/index.php?showtopic=3750

http://www.americanforeignrelations.com/A-D/The-Domino-Theory-The-1960s-high-tide-of-the-domino-theory.html

http://www.history.com/this-day-in-history.do?action=Article&id=2630

http://www.britannica.com/EBchecked/topic/168794/domino-theory

The 9 Month War of Secession; Pakistan, India and the nation of Bangladesh


A fight which started for the equal rights of East Pakistani population turned out to be one of the major wars in the history of South Asia in 1971. This is the conflict in which 3 million people were killed (Genocide, 1971, 2009) and hundreds of thousands of women were raped by the West Pakistani military (Bangladesh and Pakistan: The Forgotten War, 2009). Though the number of casualties varies according to different estimates, it was the biggest massacre after World War II, a genocide which people don’t talk about anymore, a forgotten war. It wasn’t only a common genocide, but also a policide as well as a cultural genocide.

In 1947, the nation of Pakistan and India was formed based on religious lines. Culturally homogenous population was divided by boundaries, Punjab at the west and Bengal at the east of India. Though they were divided on similar grounds, i.e. religion, there is a difference among these two partitioned lands. While Punjab, was part of the mainland Pakistan, and shared common cultural ties with the rest of West Pakistan; Bengali populated East Pakistan was hundreds of miles away, with India in the middle. Even though Bengalis in East Bengal were majority Muslims, they shared a Bengali cultural life which was similar to both Hindus and Muslims

Muslim majority East Bengal voted to be part of Dominion of Pakistan while Hindu majority West Bengal remained part of India. Muslim Bengalis realized their mistake relatively soon when in 1952 the Pakistan government tried to impose Urdu as the only national language, a language which was only spoken by 7% of the total Pakistani population (Sisson & Rose, 1991). Bengali students revolted thoroughly. This was the beginning of the revolution; a new form of Bengali nationalism was in the air. The Pakistani government based in West Pakistan was incapable of realizing their mistakes. They didn’t realize the resentment they were creating among Bengalis in East Bengal. All the conflicts of ideas began to grow; ethnic, religious and ideological as well as governmental and economic. At one stage, Bengalis asked for autonomy, which angered West Pakistan, who was stubborn enough to continue with their mistakes in dealing with national policies. The economic condition worsened after the 1970 cyclone which affected East Pakistan (renamed from East Bengal in 1955). In spite of Awami League (based in East Pakistan) winning the all Pakistan election, Sheik Mujib, was not allowed to become the prime minister of Pakistan (1971 India-Pakistan War, 2008). Tired of being dominated, East Pakistanis protested. Ayub Khan, the president of Pakistan out of frustration did the gravest mistake. On 25th March 1971, West Pakistan military mercilessly attacked the civilians in Dhaka which was called Operation Searchlight and arrested Sheik Mujib (Genocide, 1971, 2009). As a counter, East Pakistan declared independence on 26th March, forming the nation of Bangladesh, (which means the land of Bengalis). A civil war broke out in one of the world’s poorest nation followed by 9 months of suffering. Bengalis were hardly allowed to join the Pakistani army, so it was the general masses that started the guerilla war along with the handful who were formally trained. They were known as “Mukti bahini”, Bengali word for freedom fighters while to the West Pakistanis, they were simply terrorists.

When the situation got worse, scared Bengalis started to take refuge in West Bengal, India, it was the biggest exodus since World War II of 10 million people. The sheer number of refugees affected the economy of West Bengal, which made India concerned about the issue. India supported the Bengali cause against their archenemy Pakistan. They fought against each other in 1965 as well. It wasn’t long before the superpowers started taking interest in this development, mainly U.S.A., China on Pakistan’s side and U.S.S.R. on India’s side, for these superpowers this was a proxy war, power politics at a soaring level. It should be noted that this period between U.S.A and U.S.S.R. was called the Cold War, where both of the superpowers had ideological differences. So, their involvement is not a coincident, but rather based on their foreign policies. (Goldstein & Pevehouse, 2008)

On December 3rd when Pakistan attacked Indian airbases (1971: Pakistan intensifies air raids on India, 1971), at the same evening Indian prime minister Indira Gandhi, declared war on Pakistan. Before this, India was supporting the militia “Mukti bahini” with arms and training. The next day U.S.A. proposed a draft resolution for cease fire and the removal of Indian forces without any luck due to U.S.S.R’s veto in the UN. (Jayapalan, 2001). India used the strategy of compellence. It strengthened the new Bangladeshi position of having an ally fighting along with them. Bengalis found alliance cohesion with Indians fighting the common enemy. Just after 13 days of India joining the war, Pakistan surrendered on 16th December (1971 War, 2009). A new sovereign nation was born, People’s Republic of Bangladesh. It was a bloody but absolute victory, with huge number of casualties. Wars of secession tend to have a huge human capital and economic loss; on Pakistan’s side it was huge economic loss, along with almost half of its territory seceded. It is clear that Pakistani government lacked in statecraft and their power strategies completely failed.

A conflict like this is important to study because wars affect human beings, in the worst possible way. As an international relation student I believe that the study of human conflicts in different regions based on different issues would help us to understand conflicts better and gather the knowledge to solve them before huge losses incur if not that at least become informed citizens, rather than only concentrating on Western history of conflict. Politics is just like water, when there is a ripple in a water container, it slowly spreads all over, even the slightest one. The protest for rights of Bengalis was very strong in that sense, which turned into an international issue of security.



Bibliography

1971: Pakistan intensifies air raids on India. (1971). Retrieved November 14, 2009, from BBC:
http:news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/dates/stories/december/3/newsid_2519000/2519133.stm

Sisson,R., & Rose, L. E. (1991). War and Secession: Pakistan, India, and the Creation of Bangladesh. University of California Press.

Jayapalan, N. (2001). Foreign Policy Of India. Atlantic Publishers & Distributors.

1971 India-Pakistan War. (2008). Retrieved November 15, 2009, from SAPRA India Foundation:
http://subcontinent.com/1971war/origins.html

Goldstein, J.S., & Pevehouse, C.J. (2008). International Relations: Brief Fourth Edition. Pearson-Longman.

1971 War. (2009). Retrieved November 15, 2009, from Pakistan Army:
http://www.pakistanarmy.gov.pk/AWPReview/TextContent.aspx?pld=197&rnd=446

Bangladesh and Pakistan: The Forgotten War. (2009). Retrieved November 14, 2009, from TIME:
http://www.time.com/time/photogallery/0,29307,1844754_1772105,00.html

Genocide, 1971. (2009). Retrieved November 13, 2009, from Banglapedia: http://www.banglapedia.org/httpdocs/HT/G_0075.HTM

Hello everyone!!! I wrote this article a few days back for my International Relations class. Its about the 1971 war. The article is brief, my word limit was 1000 yet I tried to cover as many points possible... So.. hope you guys read....and review....I dont mind honest opinions...:P....

Note: I refer East Pakistanis as East Bengalis and Bengalis at different parts of the article. After the war of independence they were called Bangladeshis. In the same manner the area of Bangladesh I have referred to as East Pakistan (until 1971) and East Bengal (until 1955).